{"id":6752,"date":"2021-02-05T09:52:17","date_gmt":"2021-02-05T14:52:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/?p=6752"},"modified":"2021-02-05T09:52:20","modified_gmt":"2021-02-05T14:52:20","slug":"new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/","title":{"rendered":"New Covid-19 Cases in KY Falling Sharply. Waiting For Deaths to Fall as Well."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>New reported cases of Covid-19 are falling sharply after the record numbers related to the December and New Year holidays. It is both logical and reasonable to assume that adherence of public health measures had predictable effects on the recovery.   As expected, reported deaths lag cases by at least 2 to 3 weeks for both medical and administrative reasons. Should deaths not begin to fall more sharply we will need to explore possible reasons why.  The following graphic compares the 7-Day averages of new cases and deaths as of February 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-style-default\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/7day-cases-deaths-2-4-21.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"575\" height=\"463\" src=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/7day-cases-deaths-2-4-21-575x463.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6753\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/7day-cases-deaths-2-4-21-575x463.jpg 575w, http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/7day-cases-deaths-2-4-21-300x242.jpg 300w, http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/7day-cases-deaths-2-4-21-150x121.jpg 150w, http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/7day-cases-deaths-2-4-21-768x619.jpg 768w, http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/7day-cases-deaths-2-4-21-1536x1238.jpg 1536w, http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/7day-cases-deaths-2-4-21-2048x1650.jpg 2048w, http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/7day-cases-deaths-2-4-21-1200x967.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 575px) 85vw, 575px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>7-Day averages of reported daily new Covid-19 cases and deaths in Kentucky as of 2-4-21.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This data visualization <a href=\"https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/views\/Covid-19TrackinginKY\/7-DayCasesDeaths?:language=en&amp;:retry=yes&amp;:display_count=y&amp;publish=yes&amp;:origin=viz_share_link\">can be explored<\/a> on the KHPI Tableau Public website along with the full portfolio of updated interactive data displays.  Without <a href=\"https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/views\/Covid-19TrackinginKY\/NewCasesperDayw14-DayAvg_?:language=en&amp;:retry=yes&amp;:display_count=y&amp;publish=yes&amp;:origin=viz_share_link\">averaging daily reports<\/a> over either  7- or 14 days it is not possible to reliably discern short term trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additional commentary will be added after Saturday&#8217;s report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Peter Hasselbacher, MD<br>Kentucky Health Policy Institute<br>4 February 2021<\/p>\n<div class=\"sharedaddy sd-sharing-enabled\"><div class=\"robots-nocontent sd-block sd-social sd-social-icon-text sd-sharing\"><h3 class=\"sd-title\">Share this:<\/h3><div class=\"sd-content\"><ul><li><a href=\"#\" class=\"sharing-anchor sd-button share-more\"><span>Share<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"sharing-hidden\"><div class=\"inner\" style=\"display: none;\"><ul><li class=\"share-facebook\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-facebook-6752\" class=\"share-facebook sd-button share-icon\" href=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/?share=facebook\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Facebook\" ><span>Facebook<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-linkedin\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-linkedin-6752\" class=\"share-linkedin sd-button share-icon\" href=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/?share=linkedin\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on LinkedIn\" ><span>LinkedIn<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><li class=\"share-twitter\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-twitter-6752\" class=\"share-twitter sd-button share-icon\" href=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/?share=twitter\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Twitter\" ><span>Twitter<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-email\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"\" class=\"share-email sd-button share-icon\" href=\"mailto:?subject=%5BShared%20Post%5D%20New%20Covid-19%20Cases%20in%20KY%20Falling%20Sharply.%20Waiting%20For%20Deaths%20to%20Fall%20as%20Well.&body=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.khpi.org%2Fblog%2Fnew-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well%2F&share=email\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to email a link to a friend\" data-email-share-error-title=\"Do you have email set up?\" data-email-share-error-text=\"If you&#039;re having problems sharing via email, you might not have email set up for your browser. You may need to create a new email yourself.\" data-email-share-nonce=\"0faf11dd3d\" data-email-share-track-url=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/?share=email\"><span>Email<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New reported cases of Covid-19 are falling sharply after the record numbers related to the December and New Year holidays. It is both logical and reasonable to assume that adherence of public health measures had predictable effects on the recovery. As expected, reported deaths lag cases by at least 2 to 3 weeks for both &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;New Covid-19 Cases in KY Falling Sharply. Waiting For Deaths to Fall as Well.&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"sharedaddy sd-sharing-enabled\"><div class=\"robots-nocontent sd-block sd-social sd-social-icon-text sd-sharing\"><h3 class=\"sd-title\">Share this:<\/h3><div class=\"sd-content\"><ul><li><a href=\"#\" class=\"sharing-anchor sd-button share-more\"><span>Share<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"sharing-hidden\"><div class=\"inner\" style=\"display: none;\"><ul><li class=\"share-facebook\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-facebook-6752\" class=\"share-facebook sd-button share-icon\" href=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/?share=facebook\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Facebook\" ><span>Facebook<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-linkedin\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-linkedin-6752\" class=\"share-linkedin sd-button share-icon\" href=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/?share=linkedin\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on LinkedIn\" ><span>LinkedIn<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><li class=\"share-twitter\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-twitter-6752\" class=\"share-twitter sd-button share-icon\" href=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/?share=twitter\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Twitter\" ><span>Twitter<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-email\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"\" class=\"share-email sd-button share-icon\" href=\"mailto:?subject=%5BShared%20Post%5D%20New%20Covid-19%20Cases%20in%20KY%20Falling%20Sharply.%20Waiting%20For%20Deaths%20to%20Fall%20as%20Well.&body=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.khpi.org%2Fblog%2Fnew-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well%2F&share=email\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to email a link to a friend\" data-email-share-error-title=\"Do you have email set up?\" data-email-share-error-text=\"If you&#039;re having problems sharing via email, you might not have email set up for your browser. You may need to create a new email yourself.\" data-email-share-nonce=\"0faf11dd3d\" data-email-share-track-url=\"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/new-covid-19-cases-in-ky-falling-sharply-waiting-for-deaths-to-fall-as-well\/?share=email\"><span>Email<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true},"categories":[84],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5mRQe-1KU","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6752"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6752"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6752\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6755,"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6752\/revisions\/6755"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6752"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6752"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.khpi.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6752"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}